Spring Statement: Reeves extends welfare cuts, OBR halves growth forecast

British Isles 27 Mar 2025 Print Email

Rachel Reeves' Spring Statement revealed the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has halved the UK's 2025 growth forecast from 2% to 1%. In response, Reeves announced deeper welfare cuts, including freezing the health element of Universal Credit for new claimants until 2030 after a 50% reduction. Cuts to Personal Independence Payments (PIP) eligibility will affect 800,000 people, with an average annual loss of £4,500. These measures are projected to save £4.8 billion by 2030, though 250,000 more people, including 50,000 children, may fall into relative poverty. Defence spending will rise to 2.5% of GDP by 2027 and 3% in the next parliament, funded by a reduction in overseas aid. Departmental budgets will grow by 1.2% above inflation, slightly less than the 1.3% previously forecast, posing significant pressures. Despite criticism from shadow chancellor Mel Stride, Reeves denied this was ‘austerity 2.0’, insisting it would lift families out of poverty.